Download PDF by JT Houghton, LG Meira Filho, DJ Griggs and K Maskell: Stabilization of Atmospheric Greenhouse Gases: Physical,

By JT Houghton, LG Meira Filho, DJ Griggs and K Maskell

ISBN-10: 929169102X

ISBN-13: 9789291691029

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Additional resources for Stabilization of Atmospheric Greenhouse Gases: Physical, Biological and Socio-Economic Implications (IPCC Technical Paper III - February 1997)

Sample text

A) Projected global mean temperature when the concentration of CO2 is stabilized following the S profiles and the WRE550 and 1 000 profiles shown in Figure 4. , the reference case). The radiative forcing (and equivalent CO2) from which the global temperatures were derived were shown earlier in Figure 7. 5˚C. For comparison, results for the IS92a, c and e emissions scenarios are shown for the year 2100. 5˚C should be added. 2˚C should be added; (b) As for (a), but for global sea level change using central ice-melt parameters.

5˚C should be added. 2˚C should be added. It should be noted that global mean quantities are only indicators of the overall magnitude of potential future climate change: regional temperature changes may differ markedly from the global mean change, and changes in other variables, such as precipitation, are not related in any simple or direct way to global mean temperature change (see SAR WGI: Chapter 6). Regional sea level changes may also differ from the global mean due to land movement and/or oceanic circulation effects (see SAR WGI: Chapter 7).

3); viz. 5°C), and sea level rise uncertainties due to uncertainties in modelling ice-melt (SAR WGI: Chapter 7). 5°C, high ice-melt). This gives three sets of climate/sea level output for each forcing case. 3). 2), which precludes its use in the present context. For information on model structure and intermodel differences, see IPCC TP SCM (1997). Because of the large number of model simulations and the number of response variables, we present only a subset of the results here to illustrate the possible consequences.

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Stabilization of Atmospheric Greenhouse Gases: Physical, Biological and Socio-Economic Implications (IPCC Technical Paper III - February 1997) by JT Houghton, LG Meira Filho, DJ Griggs and K Maskell


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